U.S. to Lead Oil Production by 2020

Nov 12, 2012 1 Comment by

Biofuels, Natural Gas, Fracking and Increased Drilling are all factors that will make this a reality. The past 4 years inside the U.S. we have seen an a mini explosion on all types of Energy Production. And with this new election having passed, we are sure to see an increase in U.S. oil and alternative fuels.

With countries like Brazil being completely self sufficient, the United States certainly should have taken diligent notes on how to achieve these goals. It seems we have listened, and growth is on the way.

Bulldog Capital Group looks to help those small and large by financing their commodity and oil transactions, by utilizing our rated collateral, we can help achieve your results.

Please contact us to see if we can be of service, and read more about this article below.


U.S. Oil Output to Overtake Saudi Arabia’s by 2020

By Lananh Nguyen on November 12, 2012

U.S. oil output is poised to surpass Saudi Arabia’s in the next decade, making the world’s biggest fuel consumer almost self-reliant and putting it on track to become a net exporter, the International Energy Agency said.

Growing supplies of crude extracted through new technology including hydraulic fracturing of underground rock formations will transform the U.S. into the largest producer for about five years starting about 2020, the Paris-based adviser to 28 nations said today in its annual World Energy Outlook. The U.S. met 83 percent of its energy needs in the first six months of this year, according to the Energy Department in Washington.

“The IEA outlook feeds into the idea of a shift in the center of influence in the world oil market,” said Gareth Lewis-Davies, an analyst at BNP Paribas SA in London. “Given Saudi Arabia is willing to shift production up and down it will retain a large degree of influence, and remain important as a price-influencer.”

The U.S., whose crude imports have fallen 11 percent this year, is on track to produce the most oil since 1991, according to Energy Department data. In a year when Iran has threatened to halt Persian Gulf oil shipments, the growing output, coupled with a gas-production boom, may help insulate the nation from supply disruptions. President Barack Obama cited “freeing ourselves from foreign oil” as a policy goal in his election victory speech last week, echoing his predecessor, George W. Bush, who in 2006 urged the U.S. to break its “addiction” to imported crude.

Oil Prices

West Texas Intermediate crude, the benchmark U.S. grade, has dropped 13 percent this year to $85.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, as stockpiles swelled to a 22-year high. Prices have more than quadrupled in the past decade, reaching as high as $147.27 a barrel in July 2008.

Global demand for oil is projected to rise to 99.7 million barrels a day in 2035, up from 87.4 million last year, according to the IEA, which advises industrialized nations including the U.S., Germany and Japan. Today’s report projects trends to 2035.

Saudi Arabia pumped 9.8 million barrels of oil a day last month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. U.S. output was 6.7 million barrels a day in the week ended Nov. 2, according to the Energy Department.

Overtaking Saudi Arabia

The U.S. will pump 11.1 million barrels of oil a day in 2020 and 10.9 million in 2025, the IEA said. Those figures are 500,000 barrels a day and 100,000 barrels a day higher, respectively, than its forecasts for Saudi Arabia for those years. The desert kingdom is due to become the biggest producer again by 2030, pumping 11.4 million barrels a day versus 10.2 million in the U.S.

“Around 2017, the U.S. will be the largest oil producer of the world, overtaking Saudi Arabia,” IEA Chief Economist Fatih Birol said at a press conference in London today. “This is of course a major development and definitely will have significant implications.”

Officials at the U.S. Energy Department weren’t available for comment because government offices were closed in observance of the U.S. Veteran’s Day holiday today. A Saudi Arabian oil ministry official based in Riyadh wasn’t immediately available to comment on the report when contacted by phone today.

The IEA report described the U.S.’s advancement toward energy self-sufficiency as “a dramatic reversal of the trend seen in most other energy-importing countries.” The nation is developing so-called tight oil reserves including the Bakken shale formation, which are extracted by hydraulic fracturing or horizontal drilling.

Shrinking Imports

U.S. oil imports will drop to about 4 million barrels a day in 10 years from a current average of 10 million because of new production and stricter fuel-efficiency standards for cars and trucks, which will curb demand, Birol said.

The IEA isn’t alone in forecasting that the U.S. will overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia to become the largest oil producer. The U.S. will achieve that goal before the end of this decade, Citigroup Inc. said in a March 20 report that included biofuels and natural gas liquids in its calculations.

The European Union banned oil imports from Iran in July over the nation’s nuclear program, reducing shipments from a country that was until then the second-biggest producer in OPEC.

International News

About the author

Adventurer, Traveler, Foodie and Finance Designer; Since 1996, Brandon Mushlin has helped Borrowers, Lenders, Developers, Brokers and Commodity Traders successfully transact in the US and International Lending Sphere. Having consulted for over 60 banks, brokerage houses and lenders, Brandon has created scores of 6 and 7 figure Income-Earners, Funding Billions in Residential & Commercial Real Estate as well as Billions more in Collateral Funding for Projects or Import/Export by implementing his streamlined process and deep understanding of the ever-changing International Real Estate and Commodity Markets. As one of the Managing Partners for Bulldog Capital Group, a division of Bulldog Capital Funding LLC, Brandon works diligently to provide the best in structured options designed to achieve the goals of his client’s worldwide. To date Brandon has helped close or facilitate over $5 billion USD in Volume & Capital spread over 2200 closed transactions. Bulldog receives submissions from over 3000 global brokers & 1000 private firms consistently, yet only chooses the right fit. Over 90% of the business Bulldog completes is from past client referrals. Brandon is driven by his passion to find the right outcome for each client with the path of least resistance.

One Response to “U.S. to Lead Oil Production by 2020”

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